The Archive

As renewable energy integration increases market volatility, probabilistic electricity price forecasting has become essential for effective risk management. However, current-proper-scoring rules often prioritize forecast sharpness at the expense of calibration, leading to overconfident and statistically unreliable uncertainty estimates. This work highlights the critical gap between theoretical scoring and practical calibration, demonstrating that models can become mere proxies for deterministic forecasts when reliability is neglected. We conclude that future research must shift toward calibra...

OpenAI recently submitted a confidential S-1 to the SEC and has not decided on timing.

Today I’m talking with Mustafa Suleyman, the CEO of Microsoft AI. And I’m actually going to keep today’s intro short — I’m working from my wife’s family farm this week, as you’ll see in the video, but also this is a real burner of an episode. We covered everything from Mustafa’s approach to training new models to his criticisms of Anthropic talking about Claude as though it is conscious. Of course, we also talked about Microsoft’s relationship with OpenAI, how Mustafa is thinking about all the negative polling and political pushback around AI right now, and whether any of the consumer product...

OpenAI to recast hit chatbot as a route to higher-margin products before a potential IPO.

Results from a randomized controlled trial show the potential of Gemini’s Guided Learning feature to boost engagement and accelerate learning.

When will markets price the singularity?

Machine learning has its limits—how is it being used?

Apple's biggest event of the year is nearly here. The company's Worldwide Developers Conference will spotlight updates to iOS, macOS, and all of Apple's other operating systems, and this year's event could also include a major overhaul for Siri. Here's how you can watch along live. When WWDC will happen and where you can watch it WWDC lasts a few days, but Apple's biggest announcements will be in the keynote presentation on June 8th at 1PM ET / 10AM PT. The full presentation usually lasts a couple of hours. You can watch it live on YouTube or from Apple's website. What to expect from Apple's ...

Google's deal with SpaceX, and Broadcom's earnings, both seem bullish for Nvidia. Then, what I'm looking for at WWDC.

A vision for the future of AI, focusing on access, safety, and shared prosperity as OpenAI works to ensure AGI benefits everyone.

OpenAI launches the Economic Research Exchange to study AI’s impact on jobs, productivity, and the economy. Applications are now open for selected research projects.

Release: datasette-agent-edit 0.1a0 I'm planning several plugins for Datasette Agent which can make edits to existing pieces of text - things like collaborative Markdown editing, updating large SQL queries, and editing SVG files. Agentic editing of text is a little tricky to get right. My favorite published design for this is for the Claude text editor , which implements the following tools: view - view sections of a file, with line numbers added to every line. str_replace - find an exact old_str and replace it with new_str - fail if the original string is not unique insert - insert the speci...

We're likely to see more price increases as the big AI companies plan to go public.

Notion's head of product said he was "astonished" at “the amount of people RT-ing this."

"Chat is dead" — at least, according to a senior OpenAI employee.

Aitana Lopez, AI avatar by creative agency The Clueless. | Image: The Clueless This is The Stepback, a weekly newsletter breaking down one essential story from the tech world. For more on AI confusion, follow Robert Hart. The Stepback arrives in our subscribers' inboxes at 8AM ET. Opt in for The Stepback here. How it started At first, AI influencers were relatively easy to identify - and to ignore. Aside from the occasional bursts of hype, they didn't seem to change much about the way social media worked. The earliest virtual influencers - Lil Miquela with her blunt fringe and freckles, Imma ...

How accurate does an AI system need to be?

Krishnan is reportedly starting a new institution to continue shaping Trump's AI policy.

President Donald Trump said he's discussing deals "where the American people can benefit from the success of AI."

A proposed $2 billion data center has become a political flashpoint in the small city of Shelbyville, Indiana. And the controversy has only grown more intense after the mayor, Scott Furgeson, was caught on camera saying of the "No Data Center" signs going up that, "I've seen a lot of these all over town, but I only see them in shitty houses," before adding, "most of them are rentals." The woman speaking to him in the clip quickly pushes back, saying that they're "working class," and someone chimes in to add something that a mayor shouldn't have to be told about their constituents: "it doesn't...

An AI-generated image of the royal family featuring two Queen Elizabeth IIs. | Image: Meta AI Facebook has long been filled with feeds of clickbait articles. Now, Meta is making its own clickbait articles with AI. The standalone Meta AI app now has a "For You" section that populates a list of clickbait-style stories for you to read. But the topics, images, and text are all AI-generated - and as questionable as you'd expect from AI-created works. The Meta AI app first launched in April 2025 with its focus on a public "Discover" feed that showed AI-generated images and conversations from other ...