Vol. I · No. 120MON, AUG 17, 2026
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Survival Reinforcement Learning: Toward Scalable Self-Supervised RL

While self-supervised Contrastive Reinforcement Learning (CRL) has shown remarkable depth-scaling capabilities, successfully using networks over 64 layers, scaled CRL still struggles with long-horizon goal-conditioned planning due to the uniformity-tolerance dilemma inherent in contrastive losses. We introduce Survival Reinforcement Learning (SRL), an online classification-based alternative that extends the survival value learning framework by maximizing the agent's dwell time at target goals. SRL bypasses the structural constraints of CRL and mitigates the "bang-bang" control solutions inher...

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Algorithmic Recourse of In-Context Learning for Tabular Data

As predictive models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes settings such as credit approval, there is a growing need for post-hoc methods that provide recourse to affected individuals. Many such models operate on tabular data, where features correspond to real-world attributes. Recently, in-context learning (ICL) has enabled large language models to perform tabular prediction by conditioning on labeled examples at inference time, without explicit training. However, algorithmic recourse for tabular decision-making under ICL remains largely unexplored. In this work, we present the first stud...

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Mellum2 Technical Report

We present Mellum 2, an open-weight 12B-parameter Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) language model with 2.5B active parameters per token. Mellum 2 is a general-purpose language model specialized in software engineering, spanning code generation and editing, debugging, multi-step reasoning, tool use and function calling, agentic coding, and conversational programming assistance, and it is the successor to the completion-focused 4B dense Mellum model. The architecture builds on the Mixture-of-Experts (64 experts, 8 active) and combines Grouped-Query Attention with 4 KV heads, Sliding Window Attention on...

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Envisioning Beyond the Few: Disentangled Semantics and Primitives for Few-Shot Atypical Layout-to-Image Generation

The layout-to-image (L2I) task enables fine-grained control over image generation via object categories and spatial layouts. However, existing L2I methods yield fragmented and distorted generations under few-shot atypical settings. We term this failure as representation fragmentation, arising from a granularity mismatch that entangles semantic identity with visual details. To address this issue, we propose a representation-driven framework that disentangles semantics from primitives for robust few-shot adaptation. Specifically, Semantic Anchoring aggregates categorical semantics into anchors ...

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COLLEAGUE.SKILL: Automated AI Skill Generation via Expert Knowledge Distillation

LLM agents are increasingly expected not only to complete isolated tasks, but also to carry bounded representations of human expertise, judgment, and interaction style. Building such person-grounded agents remains difficult because actionable knowledge associated with a person or role is usually embedded in heterogeneous traces rather than written as clean instructions. Existing memory and persona systems capture fragments of this evidence, while skill frameworks provide portable packaging formats; however, there is no end-to-end workflow for distilling these traces into inspectable, correcta...

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Why Linear Recurrent Memory Works in Partially Observable Reinforcement Learning

The family of linear recurrent neural networks has shown strong performance as recurrent memory units in partially observable reinforcement learning. We provide a theoretical justification for their empirical effectiveness by constructing and studying two linear filters: (i) the first exactly reproduces the pre-softmax logits of the belief vector in a hidden Markov model (HMM) under a deterministic transition matrix, thereby serving as a sufficient statistic for optimal policy learning, (ii) the second achieves vanishing state-decoding error under a nearly deterministic transition matrix, thu...

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Lightweight CNN-Based Anomaly Detection for High Voltage Converter Modulators in the Spallation Neutron Source

Unscheduled trips of high-power pulsed converters are a leading source of downtime at large accelerator facilities. At the Spallation Neutron Source (SNS), the High Voltage Converter Modulators (HVCMs) are consistently the second-largest contributor to lost beam time. Each HVCM pulse is recorded across sensor channels spanning currents, voltages, and magnetic fluxes, whose mutual interactions encode the operating state of the system. Fault precursors do not manifest uniformly across these channels: depending on fault type, they may alter the temporal structure of individual signals, change th...

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Fraud Type Decomposition and the Observation-Mechanism Taxonomy:Class-Specific Detection Limits in Payment Networks

Fraud detection in payment networks relies on labels generated through heterogeneous and imperfect observation processes, yet existing approaches treat fraud as a homogeneous binary variable. We show that this assumption is structurally incorrect and leads to provable inefficiency. We introduce an observation-mechanism taxonomy that partitions fraud into five classes, each defined by a distinct censorship and labeling pipeline. We prove that estimating fraud rates separately by class and aggregating strictly dominates pooled estimation, with the efficiency gap characterized as a Jensen penalt...

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Formalizing and falsifying causal pathways of rare events

Building on recent formalizations of root cause analysis for rare events (``outliers'') in structural equation models, we propose a formal definition of a causal pathway and discuss its testable implications. We identify conditions under which these implications depend only on a causal abstraction defined by the pathway of rare events, rather than on the full causal graph of the underlying system. Accordingly, we introduce an abstraction of causal structure to pathways of rare events that bridges simple verbal causal explanations and detailed causal modeling.

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ERGeoBench:A Comprehensive Benchmark for Embodied Reasoning and Geo-localization in Multimodal Large Language Models

Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) have shown strong potential as embodied agents, yet embodied geo-localization remains underexplored due to the lack of fine-grained evaluation. We introduce ERGeoBench, a diagnostic benchmark for vision-driven embodied geo-localization. ERGeoBench evaluates models under three progressive settings -- single-view, panorama-view, and embodied-view -- where agents may actively acquire observations through sequential changes in yaw, pitch, and zoom. The benchmark contains 2,207 globally distributed street-view panoramas and measures four complementary capab...

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Entropic Projection Alignment: Estimating, Explaining, and Improving Model Performance Under Distribution Shift

We propose a unified framework for addressing three key challenges of distribution shift: (1) estimating a model's performance on an unlabeled target domain, (2) explaining the shift by identifying the features responsible, and (3) improving the target domain performance. Our method, Entropic Projection Alignment (EPA), aligns the source distribution to the target by matching carefully selected moments while simultaneously minimising the KL divergence from the source. This formulation yields a unique closed-form solution for importance weights, achieving robustness through implicit variance c...

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Learning Cardiac Latent Representations in Vectorcardiogram Space

Electrocardiography (ECG) is a cornerstone of cardiac assessment, making the learning of informative ECG representations fundamental to tasks ranging from disease diagnosis to clinical report generation. However, existing methods operate almost exclusively in the observable ECG signal space. In practice, the standard twelve-lead ECG represents multiple projections of the same underlying cardiac electrical activity from different spatial orientations. Therefore, representation learning in the ECG space inevitably introduces substantial redundancy, which may lead to spurious correlations and in...

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Toward Identifiable Sparse Autoencoders

Recently, sparse autoencoders (SAEs) have emerged as an attractive tool for interpreting and interacting with representations in practical neural networks. While it is common empirical folklore, we also show theoretically that SAEs are highly unstable: different training runs are likely to produce different concept dictionaries and sparse codes. We characterize the model properties that hinder the stability of real-world SAEs, and address each of these problems through minimal changes to the architecture and training procedure. Together, these changes yield two versions of an \textbf{i}dentif...

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Spectral Reach: Understanding Neural Scaling as Progress into the Spectral Tail

Neural scaling laws describe predictable power-law relationships between model size, dataset size, compute, and performance. While these laws guide the development of modern foundation models, the mechanisms underpinning them remain poorly understood, in part due to the absence of scalable analysis tools. To close this gap, we introduce "spectral position": a scalable measure of which eigenvalues of the empirical neural tangent kernel (eNTK) currently drive loss reduction. Applying this measure to scaling experiments, we find that spectral position decreases throughout training: learning shif...

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Bifurcated Remaining Useful Life Prediction: A Hybrid Approach for Realistic Uncertainty Characterization

This study presents a novel hybrid prognostic framework for uncertainty-aware Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimation in turbofan engines using the NASA C-MAPSS dataset. The framework employs a state-aware strategy that bifurcates the engines operational lifespan into "healthy" and "degraded" regimes. An LSTM-based autoencoder, trained strictly on nominal data (RUL > 150 cycles), monitors reconstruction error to act as a robust state classifier. For the healthy regime, a Conditional Weibull Survival Analysis is used for Mean Residual Life estimation. For the degraded regime, a Probabilistic Ne...

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Correcting Split Selection in Online Decision Trees via Anytime-Valid Inference

Bagging-based ensembles, most notably Adaptive Random Forests, are among the strongest performers for learning from data streams. A common denominator across these methods is their reliance on Hoeffding Trees as base learners, which grow decision trees incrementally by testing whether a candidate split is significantly better than its alternatives using concentration inequalities. Despite their empirical success, existing variants lack valid statistical guarantees. Current analyses rely on fixed-sample concentration bounds, while split decisions are made using data-dependent stopping rules, w...

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Scaling Multi-Hop Training Data via Graph-Constrained Path Selection

Endowing large language models with compositional reasoning over specialized documents requires multi-hop training data at scale, where such data rarely exists outside of curated benchmarks built on structured sources. To construct it directly from plain, unannotated text, existing methods ask a single teacher model to jointly discover an evidence path through a document and verbalize it as a question-answer pair. However, these methods degrade sharply when documents are structured around repetitive templates and densely cross-referencing clauses, conditions that characterize most real-world ...

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A holomorphic neural network framework for 3D boundary value problems governed by harmonic potentials

We present a neural-network-based framework for the solution of three-dimensional boundary value problems where the solution is expressible in terms of harmonic potentials. The approach leverages the Whittaker integral formula, which allows representing the solution through functions that are holomorphic with respect to a suitable complex variable. These functions are subsequently approximated using holomorphic neural networks, which guaranty fulfillment of the holomorphicity requirement. A key feature of the proposed formulation is that the governing partial differential equations (PDEs) are...

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Beyond Classification: Dynamic Adapter Routing for Continual Multimodal Retrieval

While retrieval is a core function of vision-language models, continually updating these models for retrieval tasks remains critically underexplored. Existing work often approaches continual retrieval through the lens of class-incremental learning (CIL), evaluating both standard CIL methods and retrieval-oriented adaptations in settings that may not fully capture the retrieval-specific dynamics. To address this, we introduce a new, principled evaluation framework for continual multimodal retrieval (CMR) spanning diverse visual domains, and systematically evaluate common approaches within this...

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EchoRL: Reinforcement Learning via Rollout Echoing

Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards is an effective route for post-training to strengthen the reasoning capability of large language models. However, as training proceeds, the learning signal can collapse thus makes the training gain become marginal and ineffective. Specifically, a growing fraction of prompts' rollouts become advantage-degenerated: all the self-generated rollouts show verified-success, making the standard deviation over their rewards be zero; accordingly each rollout's advantage becomes degenerated (zero) as well. Given such rollouts' advantages, the policy-gradien...

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What changes after deployment? A survey on On-device Learning in TinyML

Machine learning models on microcontroller-class devices (TinyML) face a fundamental challenge: post-deployment distribution change undermines static models. On-device learning (ODL) addresses this by running the learning process directly on the device. The existing literature has not characterized how distribution change occurs or how different change types require different solutions. Approximately 70 ODL works are surveyed under one principle: the distribution change regime. The survey analyzes how different types of distribution change influence the applications addressable on-device, the...

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Comparing LLM-Based Conversational and Graphical Interfaces for Industrial Decision Tasks: An Exploratory Mixed-Methods Study

The use of Generative AI Conversational User Interfaces (CUI) as a new way to access and analyze data is growing in all sectors, and the industrial one is no exception. There, large amounts of data produced by IoT devices are flowing through user interfaces and may require them a new adaptation to the new analyses needs of decision-makers. LLM-based CUIs are promising a new way to directly interact with those data through the directness of natural language and without the learning costs that every GUI design has. Moreover, the capabilities of LLMs and their agency open up the possibility to a...

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Multivariate Distributional Reinforcement Learning Using Sliced Divergences

Distributional reinforcement learning (DRL) models the full return distribution rather than expectations, but extending it to multivariate settings remains challenging. Many common metrics do not naturally generalize beyond one dimension or lose computational tractability, and the multivariate case introduces additional difficulties such as general matrix discounting, for which no contraction results are available. We introduce Sliced Distributional Reinforcement Learning (SDRL), which lifts tractable one-dimensional divergences to multivariate return distributions via projections. We prove B...

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Shared Doubt: Zero-shot Cross-Lingual Confidence Estimation for Language Models

Confidence estimation (CE), i.e. quantifying the reliability of a model's prediction, has attracted great interest in the context of large language models (LLMs). However, most studies focus on English, ignoring the multilingual reality of LLM usage, while many CE methods degrade or require retraining across languages. To address this gap, we investigate whether multilingual LLMs encode shared, language-transferable confidence features. We use a lightweight linear probe that predicts answer correctness directly from intermediate representations. Trained monolingually, the probe generalizes ze...

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Latent Geometric Chords for Query-Efficient Decision-Based Adversarial Attacks

While decision-based black-box adversarial attacks present a severe security threat, current methodologies suffer from fundamental limitations. Pixel-wise attacks frequently introduce unnatural, high-frequency visual artifacts, while latent-space frameworks are confined by the limited search space of low-dimensional manifolds and inherent reconstruction flaws. To resolve these limitations, we propose Latent Geometric Chords (LGC) for Query-Efficient Decision-Based Adversarial Attacks alongside a variant, LGC-H. At its core, LGC navigates decision boundaries by executing a curvature-aware geom...

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Jony Ive’s funky Ferrari

Most people will never own, drive, or even sit inside a Ferrari Luce. (If you can, or do… hit us up.) There's still no question that Ferrari's first electric vehicle is one of the most interesting, surprising cars of the year. With a decidedly un-Ferrari look, and lots of new technology and designs courtesy of Sir Jony Ive, the Luce is a lot of big ideas in a single swoopy package. A lot of people really hate it. Verge subscribers, don't forget you get exclusive access to ad-free Vergecast wherever you get your podcasts. Head here. Not a subscriber? You can sign up here. On this episode of Th...

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Fixed-Point Masked Generative Modeling

Masked Generative Models (MGMs) enable parallel decoding and achieve strong performance across modalities, but require full-sequence bidirectional transformers at every step, making training costly and degrading quality under low sampling budgets. Existing work improves efficiency via better samplers or cheaper fixed-depth denoisers, but they still allocate a fixed amount of denoiser computation to each refinement step. We introduce Fixed-Point Masked Generative Models (FP-MGMs), which replace part of the denoiser with a fixed-point solver over shared attention layers to enable adaptive depth...

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Benchmarking and Enhancing Text-to-Image Models for Generating Visual Representations in Early Arithmetic Education

AI systems are increasingly used to support educational content creation, yet it remains unclear whether they can generate outputs that faithfully represent the pedagogical concepts they are intended to teach. Thus, we introduce equation-to-visual generation, a task that, in contrast to conventional image generation, requires producing pedagogically meaningful visuals from arithmetic equations while precisely preserving their numerical and relational structure. Informed by interviews with teachers and an analysis of educational materials, we construct E2V-Bench, a benchmark spanning four peda...

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Simulation of collision avoidance behavior in crowd movement by data-driven approach

Crowd movement simulation is essential for pedestrian safety management and facility layout optimization. Data-driven models enhance trajectory prediction accuracy under Euclidean metrics, yet they suffer from excessively high collision rates, especially in bidirectional and multidirectional flows. In this paper, we establish a novel data-driven crowd simulation model that incorporates the pedestrian collision mechanism into the loss function to reduce collisions. A new lateral-acceleration-based collision loss function and a Voronoi-based motion feature extraction approach are proposed. The ...

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