The Archive

Agentic AI systems combine probabilistic reasoning with delegated action through tools, context, memory, orchestration, and external workflow integration. This note develops a formal and managerially usable model that distinguishes Agentic Technical Debt from Stochastic Tax. Agentic Technical Debt is a stock of accumulated design and governance liability. Stochastic Tax is a recurring flow of operating burden that arises when stochastic agents are used in business workflows. The two constructs are related, but they are not the same: debt can amplify the tax, while the tax can remain positive ...

Probabilistic smoothing is a standard tool for global optimization, but existing methods rely on Gaussian kernels and specific transforms, often resulting in strong hyperparameter sensitivity and limited robustness. We propose a general smoothing framework that combines flexible symmetric unimodal kernels with monotonic ratio-based transformations. Under mild conditions, we show that the smoothed objective preserves the global maximizer and that all stationary points concentrate near the true optimum for sufficiently large amplification, without requiring a decreasing smoothing schedule. We f...

Visual inputs are often assumed to improve language understanding in multimodal models. We examine this assumption by asking whether vision-language models (VLMs) can distinguish useful visual evidence from incidental image context in lexical judgments. We use human concreteness and imagery ratings because they span words with varying expected visual relevance, from abstract and low-imagery words to concrete and high-imagery words. We find that real-image contexts do not yield consistent gains and often hurt alignment with human ratings, most sharply when visual evidence is least relevant. Th...

Demographic information is often used to model annotator perspectives in subjective tasks such as hate speech detection, but its benefit is inconsistent: it improves performance in some settings and behaves as noise in others. This paper asks when demographic features help. We analyze demographic gain as a function of both data split properties and modeling frameworks. For data splits, we measure annotator disagreement, namely how often annotators assign different labels to the same example, along with training size and train-test demographic coverage. We find that demographic gains concentra...

Chart question-answering (QA) benchmarks aim to pose questions that require visual reasoning to correctly answer, but models can often reach solutions through shortcuts or prior familiarity with a chart based on their own background knowledge. To strictly evaluate visual reasoning, we propose counterfactual charts where the chart-question task remains fixed, but underlying chart and the corresponding answer are varied. We introduce Chartographer, a framework to reverse engineer charts into executable code, validate reconstruction fidelity, generate seed-controlled counterfactual variants, and...

The widespread use of AI services has raised concerns for its environmental sustainability, towards which recent studies have identified carbon emissions of AI inference as the major contributor. This paper introduces a framework for designing AI inference incentives based on the users' valuation for inference quality and latency, together with their environmental consciousness, while accounting for the tradeoff between carbon emissions and the two QoE parameters. Our approach can accommodate different tradeoffs, that depend on the size and complexity of the AI models and the allocation of re...

We consider training classifiers for 3D medical images using only one binary label for the entire volume rather than a label for each 2D slice. In such weakly supervised settings, can we learn accurate classifiers for slice-level predictions? Attention-based multiple instance learning (MIL) can produce an attention score for every slice. Yet recent work demonstrates that a simple center-focused baseline that ignores image content can outperform attention-based and transformer-based MIL at slice-level classification of 3D brain scans. We show this baseline also outperforms existing MIL at slic...

Hugging Face debuts $2,500 bipedal robot project for builders and researchers.

Modern intrusion detection systems generate thousands of alerts daily, but alert fatigue severely limits security operations effectiveness due to too many false positives or low-impact events. We address this by proposing a principled framework for alert prioritization based on subnormal Gaussian fuzzy numbers, explicitly modeling three sources of uncertainty: threat severity, detection confidence, and organizational risk attitude. Each alert is represented as a fuzzy number with the core indicating severity, spread indicating uncertainty, and height reflecting detection reliability. We apply...

Charts effectively convey quantitative information, but the underlying data are often locked in image form, hindering reuse and analysis. Manually digitizing charts is time-consuming and error-prone, motivating automatic chart-to-table extraction. Recent approaches use specialized vision-language models (VLMs), yet performance still lags on charts with many datapoints or substantial stylistic variation. We propose a VLM self-ensembling method that repeatedly samples multiple tabular outputs from the same VLM for a fixed chart image and aggregates them at the level of individual table cells. W...

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in diverse cultural contexts, yet their ability to master aesthetic stylistics, i.e., the strategic use of language to evoke cultural resonance, remains underexplored. We curate C4STYLI, a benchmark of highly stylized translated movie titles and advertising slogans from Hong Kong and the Chinese Mainland, to evaluate LLMs via the lens of behavioral recognition and productive competence. Extensive evaluations show that LLMs differ from humans in stylistic recognition, and this recognition ability varies across text domains. In addition, st...

Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) systems can respond incorrectly even when the correct passage was retrieved. The model must still read the retrieved passages and identify which one contains the answer among others that look relevant. This passage-reading model is called the reader. Does it fail simply because the context is longer or because the other passages genuinely compete with the correct one? We introduce and demonstrate a matched-control protocol for RAG reading: we keep the number and length of passages fixed, but replace hard competitors with less competitive real passages. We ...

Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards has become a standard recipe for improving the reasoning abilities of large language models. Existing algorithms face a tradeoff between computational efficiency and sample efficiency in value estimation and policy learning. We introduce BASIS, a critic-free post-training algorithm designed to address this tradeoff. At each online training step, BASIS samples only one rollout per prompt, but leverages rich information across prompts in the entire batch to improve value function estimation. Our experiments demonstrate that BASIS reduces MSE in val...

Privacy auditing aims to empirically assess privacy leakage in machine learning models using membership inference attacks (MIAs), and to derive lower bounds on differential privacy (DP) parameters. Recent one-run auditing methods address the high cost of standard approaches by relying on a single training run with multiple "canary" points whose inclusion or exclusion must be detected by the auditor. In this work, we study the problem of efficiently crafting canaries for one-run privacy auditing. Motivated by recent theoretical insights suggesting that interference between canaries contributes...

Large language models (LLMs) are known to abandon their initial stance to conform to user pushback. While prior research largely attributes this behavior to sycophancy learned during reinforcement learning from human feedback, we hypothesize that conformity is also driven by a model's epistemic uncertainty at inference time. In this paper, we introduce MUSE, a two-stage evaluation framework to disentangle the mechanisms driving LLM conformity. Specifically, MUSE maps a model's epistemic uncertainty in responding to a query against its likelihood to yield to user pushback in a subsequent turn....

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) are transforming the forecasting paradigm through large-scale cross-domain pretraining. However, most existing TSFMs remain univariate, and recent efforts to enable cross-variate modeling still operate directly within the raw variate space. This design introduces fundamental limitations in semantic alignment and relational expressivity. Specifically, raw-space group mixing lacks a dedicated mechanism to align heterogeneous physical quantities, while standard non-negative attention fails to capture the complex synergistic and antagonistic interactions ubiq...

Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models are increasingly expected to not only complete robot tasks, but also follow human instructions about how those tasks should be executed. However, existing robot datasets usually pair trajectories with coarse goal-level language, leaving execution-critical details such as active arm, approach direction, and contact region unspecified. This limits steerable policy learning and robotic video understanding. We introduce FineVLA, an open framework for action-aligned fine-grained VLA supervision. The framework includes: (1) a data construction tool that unifies 9...

Predicting the effect of interventions with many possible variations, e.g., therapeutic content that affects mental health outcomes or an earnings call transcript that drives movement in share price, is useful across several domains. However, classical causal estimators tend to assume that all possible interventions are observed, which is infeasible when interventions vary widely, for instance, in the space of all text strings. We adapt a well-known approach of recasting causal inference as a learning problem, to address high-dimensional treatment spaces. Specifically, under standard assumpti...

Humans are the bottleneck in building and improving AI. Both the models and the agents that wrap them are written, tuned, and corrected by people. The long-horizon goal of an AI that can figure out how to improve itself remains open. Two largely disjoint research lines attack this bottleneck. The harness-update school has a meta-agent rewrite the scaffold of a task-specific agent (its tools, prompts, retry logic, and search procedure) while the model weights are held fixed. The test-time training school uses hand-written RL pipelines to update the model's own weights on task feedback while th...

# ok so i was working on this projectt and INSTEAD of just doing it i kept asking claude ai to verify all the requirments were met right like i would go "did you complete EVERYTHING" it would go "yes all done :))" and then i check myself and requirments 5 and 6 are just. missing so i tell it to fix it same thing hapens requirments 5 and 6 still missing i do this maybe 6 or 7 times before i realise bro i couldve just written requirments 5 and 6 myself in like 10 minutes , like PLEASE and then the same you were right to pushback on that... lmao at some point u gotta add a lil bit of ur own brai...

Disease forecasting models typically rely on a single data stream, making models brittle when histories are short or noisy. Recent top-performing models have shown that synthesizing multiple reporting systems for the same disease improves performance. Other recent work takes this idea a step further, using transfer learning to train a forecasting model for one disease using data from a different disease. We expand upon each of these approaches greatly, training machine learning models on data that span 66 infectious diseases and several data streams. We investigate the value of incorporating ...

Modern Large Language Models (LLMs) are often criticized for producing repetitive and homogeneous text, despite possessing vast latent vocabularies. While previous research has focused on model knowledge and training data, we investigate the role of decoding mechanics in suppressing linguistic diversity. We introduce the Word Coverage Score (WCS), a metric that quantifies the extent to which contextually appropriate human vocabulary is mathematically pruned by standard sampling filters (e.g., Top-$p$, Top-$k$, and Min-$p$). Rather than assessing static knowledge, the WCS measures the lexical ...

We propose Kan Extension Transformers (KETs) as a unifying categorical framework for a diverse group of Transformer implementations. The core claim is that a Transformer layer can be viewed as a weighted structured extension operator: standard attention is the singleton-neighborhood case, Geometric Transformer style incidence mixing is a sparse edge-restricted case, and KET is the higher-order simplicial case. This lens also clarifies a bridge to diffusion-style completion. When the extension operator acts on detached predictive carriers instead of teacher-forced hidden states, it becomes a v...

Building state-of-the-art text-to-speech (TTS) systems typically demands millions of hours of proprietary data and complex multi-stage architectures, creating substantial barriers for resource-constrained research teams. In this report, we present PilotTTS, a lightweight autoregressive TTS system that achieves competitive performance through minimalist architecture and rigorous data engineering. PilotTTS is trained on only 200K hours of data processed entirely with open-source tools. Specifically, our contributions are: (1) a reproducible multi-stage data processing pipeline covering quality ...

Long chain-of-thought reasoning has made autoregressive decoding the dominant inference cost of modern large language models. Existing methods target either the input side (latent compression) or the output side (speculative decoding and multi-token prediction, MTP), but the two lines of work have been pursued independently. Moreover, output-side methods must incur an expensive verifier pass to validate the unreliable draft tokens predicted by MTP. To address these issues, we propose \textbf{Pair-In, Pair-Out (PIPO)}, which unifies both sides by viewing a latent compressor and an MTP head as ...

Selecting which instances to label is a key challenge in low-label tabular learning. For recent Tabular Foundation Models such as TabPFN, context selection directly determines predictive performance. Supervised oracle experiments show that carefully chosen labeled context sets can strongly outperform random selection under the same labeling budget. However, the cold-start setting, where instances must be selected before any labels are available, has received little attention in the TFM literature. This problem is fundamentally geometric. In vision and language, foundation models induce embedd...

An effective method of teaching across disciplines is to provide examples of high-quality work. However, an example may be significantly different from a student's current work, making it challenging for them to emulate. An ideal learning demonstration is a counterfactual version of the student work, an improved version that is still similar to their own. Existing automated approaches for counterfactual text generation using Large Language Models (LLMs) result in domain-specific systems that are difficult to translate into practical applications. We present the Gumbel Machine, a flexible, mod...

This position statement looks back on two decades of work on shallow embeddings of non-classical logics in classical higher-order logic (HOL), a line of research that expanded into a range of logic embeddings in HOL and inspired the LogiKEy logic-pluralistic knowledge representation and reasoning methodology. This paper advances the case for logical pluralism at object-logic level within a unifying meta-logical framework such as LogiKEy, grounding the argument in computational metaphysics. More broadly, it advocates principled support for logical pluralism in modern proof assistants, and caut...

Link: axios.com